Manager Report

The unlikely suspect

As I enjoy spending warm summer days with my family at the park, I was amused as my son struggled to keep pace with the melting of his ice cream cone. His efforts were futile as the once regal cone quickly became a sea of chocolate sticky mess. Although I’ve tried to suppress the memories of the bitterly cold winter of 2017-18, I do recall my promise to never scorn the life-giving warmth of the sun.  It also reminded me of a recent study from a group of solar physicists who no so surprisingly found a distinct correlation between solar activity and global temperature.  

While some in the scientific community have been extremely busy trying to make modeling data match a predetermined outcome, others are studying the unique relationship between solar activity and global surface temperature. Their conclusion would seem rather straightforward and obvious. When there is more sunspot activity, the earth gets warmer, when there is less sunspot activity, the earth gets cooler. If we look at the “Little Ice Age” which occurred in the 1600’s there was very little sunspot activity and you guessed it, the world was extremely cold. If we look just more recently to the period between the 1970s and 1990s in which the end of the world was prophesized due to rising global temperatures, we see a very high level of sunspot activity and not coincidentally increasing global temperatures.

Of course, this is not really a new or ground-breaking discovery. Research has indicated that by analyzing certain isotopes in ice cores that we are now able to determine how active or inactive the sun has been over many thousands of years. Where the isotopes are fewer, the ice is thicker, where isotopes are more abundant, there is less ice accumulation. The troublesome issue according to Professor Mike Lockwood of Reading University, is that solar activity has been falling perhaps more rapidly than at any time in the last 10,000 years. This is not great news if you were getting used to short mild winters and long summers. Just as the warming from 1978 to 1998 was predictable and expected, the risk of a deep cooling with another “Little Ice Age” in our near future seems entirely possible.

While this science seems to give some clue to why our planet’s climate is ever changing, one would think that the global science community would at least give this study some merit, but unfortunately you would be wrong. The United Nations climate bureaucracy issued the following statement. “Neither changes in the activity of the Sun, nor its impact in blocking cosmic rays, can be a significant contributor to global warming. So, now we are led to believe the sun has little effect on our climate? I further believe this reinforces the premise that global warming is less about science and more about political opportunity. Albert Einstein once said that all it takes is one false result to disprove any theory yet unbelievably global warming/climate change gets to remain an absolute without ever predicting even one truth.